UNBREXIT OR BUST -SCOTLAND'S DIFFICULT CHOICES

Yes it's complicated for Scots. Fight for a People's Vote on Brexit and risk losing a timely opportunity for IndyRef2 due to Referendum  fatigue etc etc. I get all that.
And it's hardly a secret that I believe wholeheartedly in the value of Scotland becoming an independent European nation freed from the increasingly hysterical agenda of the current UK administration; its intolerance, its profound lack of compassion and decent values, and its ability to be captured by a cadre of right wing (rich) bampots who have always fantasised about returning to a pre-Europe golden age which exists only in their febrile imagination.

Yet I'm now properly scared that this collection of self serving, serially lying outriders have so spooked a leader so manifestly out of her depth, that by default we can be railroaded out of an arrangement for which almost two thirds of Scots voted.
It has taken an age for all the commercial and industrial concerns in the Brexit firing line to go public with what they have known these many months: that no deal or a deeply flawed one will have a catastrophic effect on the supply chairn which keeps business wheels turning. Which keeps our shops stocked, our cars running, and our goods and services intact.

For them to admit that whole swathes of industrial ad service sectors will up sticks when they know there is little point in further investment in the UK if that cannot give them access to the 500 million strong European market which brought them here in the first place or facilitated their growth.   And taken even longer for a UK government to listen up and which now alternates between patting us on the head with platitudes about it all being all right on the night, and scurrying around in the manner of head free poultry wondering if they can get the army to bring the bread round. Always supposing they can find the ingredients fot it to be baked.

The losers in this apocalyptic act of self harm will not be the likes of Rees Mogg - some whose substantical  financial interests have already been quietly re-locating to Dublin - or the wealthy Boris Johnson with his dual US/UK citizenship and his limiltess personal ambition.  The losers, as ever, will be ordinary folks suddenly faced with the kind of massive hike in daily living costs already predicted by those observers with no personal skin in the game. The unavoidable rise in food costs, the impact on social budgets when the exchequer is stung for massive sums just to try and keep some kind of show on the road.  It is not latter day Private Frazers who are intoning that we are all doomed; it's the people who have done the hard sums and the logical thinking of which the current UK cabinet seems incapable.

And, in addition to this, we have a house of Commons where the party of government is in terminal dissarray, and the official opposition seems incapable of agreeing  on what grounds to oppose.  The runaway train has nobody able to grab the brakes save for a few principled rebels, and those opposition parties short of the numbers to save the day on their own account. A poll this week for Sky TV suggests that half the UK would now be in the market for a People's Vote on whatever arrangement Mrs May has cobbled together (or not) with the EU later this year. The people, in my view, are entitled to have a say in their own future and that of their children and grandchildren who will ultimately pay the price of a wrong decision.

The choice we were offered by Brexiteers in 2016 was not just a false prospectus, but one with barely an ounce of flesh on its duplicitous bones. We know now too that the main Leave Campaign broke the law, cheated, lied about cheating, and may or may not have been funded by foreign interests. We are also constantly being told that Brexit is the will of the British people.  It is not. As AC Grayling contstantly argues, when you strip out those not able to vote, and those who did not vote, some 27% of the population backed Brexit.  The figures are even more startling in Scotland, of course, where the desire to remain in Europe garnered almost twice the votes of leavers.

So I repeat.  It is a difficult call for Scots and their government.  But the existential threat to our economic prospects is such that I think trying to stop Brexit - in chronological terms - is probably the greatest priority. I don't know whether a post Brexit scorched earth would make people more or less likley to vote yes in IndyRef2. I don't know whether a People's Vote will make voters too fatigued to march to the ballot box again soon after. But I do know that Brexit is a disaster waiting to happen in a matter of months. And maybe trying to  stop  that is the wheel to which we need to put our shoulders just at the moment.